{
  "completedOn": "2026-10-07",
  "scope": {
    "transitions": 10713,
    "fieldHistories": 69,
    "locations": 24,
    "rolloutOrigins": 52,
    "indexAnchors": 8,
    "physicalFeatures": 17,
    "data": "NASA SMAP and Sentinel-2 observations with ERA5 reanalysis; not customer IoT data"
  },
  "accuracy": [
    {"id":"ndvi","label":"NDVI","unit":"index","before":{"rmse":0.02178231778236558},"healed":{"rmse":0.021762814637412163,"mae":0.006229156836589616,"correlation":0.9729295356785717},"persistence":{"rmse":0.021758102773697285}},
    {"id":"soil_moisture","label":"Soil moisture","unit":"m³/m³","before":{"rmse":0.14084968945630275},"healed":{"rmse":0.14409121860896815,"mae":0.08847324609162928,"correlation":0.5616573935238428},"persistence":{"rmse":0.14558247426615945}},
    {"id":"temperature_mean","label":"Temperature","unit":"°C","before":{"rmse":1.7717138133198853},"healed":{"rmse":1.7888019386924692,"mae":1.3076619237351632,"correlation":0.9771163875389594},"persistence":{"rmse":1.9193267096500368}},
    {"id":"rainfall","label":"Rainfall","unit":"mm/day","before":{"rmse":5.606410701968976},"healed":{"rmse":5.627759272058345,"mae":3.2271819029228395,"correlation":0.3763659698789079},"persistence":{"rmse":7.1242778154067485}},
    {"id":"et0","label":"ET0","unit":"mm/day","before":{"rmse":0.8469600193958504},"healed":{"rmse":0.8464493264289973,"mae":0.6191289312277004,"correlation":0.9142184227301684},"persistence":{"rmse":0.9478735069547798}},
    {"id":"humidity","label":"Humidity","unit":"%","before":{"rmse":7.989993117023961},"healed":{"rmse":8.045977005141971,"mae":5.993142285139211,"correlation":0.9314972576137023},"persistence":{"rmse":8.551336837598662}},
    {"id":"wind_speed","label":"Wind speed","unit":"m/s","before":{"rmse":0.9254144200681967},"healed":{"rmse":0.9274988029881825,"mae":0.7000664304000026,"correlation":0.7106720037816929},"persistence":{"rmse":1.0001937000566627}},
    {"id":"solar_radiation","label":"Solar radiation","unit":"MJ/m²/day","before":{"rmse":3.6108699792599297},"healed":{"rmse":3.6099539478012574,"mae":2.5920152007605632,"correlation":0.8283832304567689},"persistence":{"rmse":4.338895340304585}}
  ],
  "nextDay": {
    "metric": "Common-scale mean squared error across eight physical features; lower is better",
    "before": {"median":0.46749838724830156,"p90":1.8129269100953327,"p99":5.730936919423439,"parentWins":62,"skillSse":0.17298590413431114},
    "healed": {"median":0.4682113126432639,"p90":1.8883426931674776,"p99":5.688668842232677,"parentWins":60,"skillSse":0.16173632946082317},
    "persistenceMedian":0.5068071329639776,
    "pairedSiteDifference":0.007984806261929475,
    "pairedInterval95":[-0.001198846927507185,0.01769794194416386]
  },
  "evolution": [
    {"days":1,"before":{"ndvi":0.020901062023104624,"soil_moisture":0.13318856478077612,"solar_radiation":4.244854586651403},"healed":{"ndvi":0.02055867112919485,"soil_moisture":0.14039423375486387,"solar_radiation":4.096387080266893}},
    {"days":7,"before":{"ndvi":0.04817214570469474,"soil_moisture":0.26896109691045644,"solar_radiation":10.674824026207787},"healed":{"ndvi":0.0508582189846225,"soil_moisture":0.15984705948184613,"solar_radiation":10.115503155039143}},
    {"days":30,"before":{"ndvi":0.13240415220761717,"soil_moisture":3.2862722855869935,"solar_radiation":34.1533791848324},"healed":{"ndvi":0.15631509662278542,"soil_moisture":1.2911348143960184,"solar_radiation":27.024441020221573}},
    {"days":90,"before":{"ndvi":1.0250070863721483,"soil_moisture":19.913353437250365,"solar_radiation":279.0041111782976},"healed":{"ndvi":1.4245501968586827,"soil_moisture":12.019793173335897,"solar_radiation":85.07719224362492}}
  ],
  "response": {
    "interpretation":"Model responses to changes in observed history, not observed counterfactual outcomes or causal validation",
    "rainfall": {
      "pulse":6.754172643011185,
      "unit":"mm/day",
      "durationDays":1,
      "medianAbsoluteResponse":[
        {"days":1,"ndvi":0.0011111678331602974,"soil_moisture":0.009895941100275626,"solar_radiation":0.380295480374226},
        {"days":7,"ndvi":0.003648343484765929,"soil_moisture":0.02310549521545801,"solar_radiation":0.8614803048280972},
        {"days":90,"ndvi":0.04603928588939492,"soil_moisture":0.5065444150202882,"solar_radiation":7.356858676982032}
      ]
    },
    "rainfallTemperatureInteractionNdvi":[
      {"days":1,"medianAbsoluteResponse":0.0018632628956227557},
      {"days":7,"medianAbsoluteResponse":0.005705167867712878},
      {"days":90,"medianAbsoluteResponse":0.09011346215579855}
    ],
    "scenarioSpreadNdvi": {
      "anchors":8,
      "beforeDay90":0.022104777152039918,
      "healedDay90":0.0980889189048175,
      "interpretation":"Scenario variation, not calibrated forecast error"
    }
  }
}
